Monday, October 17, 2011

Looking At Wsechester District 1 & 4 Races

Dear Readers:

Here is a quick snap shot of some upcoming local races as we head into November 8.

Westchester Legislative District 4:
Candidates:Mike Kaplowitz (D-WP)---Terrence Murphy (R-C-I)

Kaplowitz is the sitting incumbent. Murphy is at present a Yorktown Councilman. This by the numbers will be Kaplowitz's most difficult races. Murphy has 3 lines, Kaplowitz 2. Obstacles for Kaplowitz are 1) long term incumbent. "throw the bums out" mentality" is in play. Not much he can do about that. 2) State of county government and taxes. He has to separate himself from Democrat majority, yet at the same time take credit for being part of the negative tax increase from this years budget. 3) Affordable housing settlement. Leaves a bad taste in most voters mouth.

Murphy's problem is that it is very difficult to un-seat an incumbent, minus a scandal. Mike is so beige that the scandal option is out. Also when it comes to budget numbers, Mike is the smartest person in the room. Smarter than the other legislators. Murphy has to make the case that change in representation is in District 4's best interest. Mike has made his case, Murphy has not closed the deal yet. Prediction: Winner squeaks by with barely over 50% of the vote.

MY PICK: Even though Murphy has R-C-I, Kaplowitz barely pulls it out in a recount


Westchester Legislative District 1:
Candidates: Mike Kane (D-WP)---John Testa (R-C-I)

Testa is the sitting incumbent and County Executive is Republican, those plusses help John. Kane has same problem as Murphy, un-seating a sitting incumbent. Testa's problem is that as of now he is in the super minority. Democrats on Board of Legislators do not need Republicans for veto over-rides. That may change after November's elections. Very good chance for Republicans to pick up one or two seats. If that happens, it makes John a player should he win re-election.
If Kane should win, he will still be part of majority, as Democrats will not lose that, no matter what happens in other races.

Kane on the other hand has to articulate why he can serve District 1 better than present representation. His palm card highlights issues I find hard to equate to County Government. It does however highlight Mike's idealism, which in and of itself is not a bad thing. Character and principal's do matter. Prediction: No competitive race in Cortlandt hurts Testa, helps Mike as only Democrats on most of ballot. John needs a better showing in Peekskill than last race because of Cortlandt. Who ever wins Yorktown wins race.
Kane while being a good candidate, has an uphill climb.

MY PICK: Testa, having R-C-I is the difference


Next week I look at Peekskill and Yorktown. This is my opinion, you may beg to differ.

Anthony J. Bazzo

The opinions expressed by freelance contributors to PennySaver Community do not necessarily reflect those of PennySaver Community or its parent Chase Media Group.

To read more Bazzo, go to PennySaverCommunity.com, where you can submit responses to his opinions and post your own comments.
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E-MAIL ME WITH YOUR COMMENTS:
Dear Readers:

It has come to my attention the difficulty in posting a comment on this blog. If you wish to comment, e-mail me at the link posted below, putting "Manifesto Reader" in the subject matter, and I will "cut and Paste" your comments myself. If you DO NOT wish your comments posted, but just wish to communicate with me, please make your wishes known in the e-mail.

LINKS: atom_taxi@yahoo.com(as this a yahoo address make sure you put an underscore (-) between atom and taxi)

For immediate reply: atomtaxi@aol.com

AT NCN: abazzo@ncnlocal.com
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SITES TO LINK TO:

ellabellahairclippies: www.ellabellahairclippies.com
http://ellabellahairclippies.blogspot.com

ROB ASTORINO: www.robastorino.com

JOHN G. TESTA: www.johngtesta.com

ON TOPIC W/ JOHN TESTA: www.ontopicwithjt.com

CARS & US: www.doverracing.com

THE WINERY AT ST. GEORGE: http://www.TheWineryAtStGeorge.com

PLAN PUTNAM: planputnam@googlegroups.com/

BRUCE APAR'S NCN BLOG: http://theblogcabin.com/homebase/bapar

NORTH COUNTY NEWS:"http://northcountynews.com/

THE JOURNAL NEWS:http://thejournalnews.com/

PEEKSKILL DAILY: peekskilldaily.com

YORKTOWN WATCHDOG: www.yorktownopengov.org

PADAVANO FINE ARTS: Padovanofineart.com

ASSEMBLYMAN GREG BALL: http://www.ball4ny.com/

PEEKSKILL BID: www.peekskillbid.com or
www.downtownpeekskill.com

Peekskill Democratic City Committee Blog:
http://www.peekskilldems.com/blog
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CABLE SHOWS TO WATCH:

BRUCE THE BLOG GOES BAZZO: Thursdays at 10 P.M. channel 74. Available in Yorktown - Putnam Valley - Bedford - Bedford Hills - Mount Kisco - Katonah - Lewisboro - North Salem - Pound Ridge - Purdy Station - Amawalk - Granite Springs - Lincolndale - Somers - Baldwin Place - Shenorock - Mahopac.

Same Time Same Date On Channel 15 in Philipstown - Cortlandt - Peekskill - Ossining and BriarCliff. Maybe Mt Kisco also.

HOSTED BY: BRUCE APAR & ANTHONY J. BAZZO


YORKTOWN WATCHDOG: Every Monday at 9:30 P.M. channel 74
Hosted By: ED CIFFON (Yorktown and Putnam Valley only)

CARS & US: Fridays 10 PM chanel 15(Peek. & Cortlant) 74(York. & Put. Valley)
Hosted By: Dennis Tate

SPEAK OUT WITH SANDY GALEF: Yorktown chanel 74 Wednesdays at 7:30PM..Ossining/Peekskill chanel 15 Wednesdays at 8PM
Hosted by: Sandra Galef

DEAR SANDY: Yorktown chanel 74 Fridays 7:30PM...Ossining/Peeksill chanel 15 Fridays
9PM
Hosted by: Sandra Galef

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EDITOR'S NOTE:
All articles re-printed in this blog from the North County News are with the permission of Bruce Apar Publisher and Editor-in-Chief

10/17/11

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